Mission Mangal Vs Saaho Vs Batla House : Is it Possible ?

Come 15th August and 3 big films are planning to clash on that date.

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Mission Mangal Vs Saaho Vs Batla House: All these 3 films have locked horns for a 15th August release making it a Titanic Sized Clash.

We will look at the budget of these movies and also a possibility where they release solo or in a 2 sided clash and how it affects their box office performance.

Possibility 1: Mission Mangal Vs Saaho Vs Batla House:

We have to keep this figure in mind all through this article i.e. number of worthwhile screens in India = 5876.

Movie Name Estimate Production Budget (INR Crores)
Saaho 250 ( High Risk)
Mission Mangal 50 (Low Risk)
Batla House 35 (Low Risk)

 

Note: The production budget estimates are derived from the making of the film and not confirmed by the makers yet.

Now in this case where all three films release on the same day, below possibilities are there. However, we should wait till trailer of other other movies arrive to make a more accurate judgement.

Now, Let’s assume that all these movie are very good and their trailers have impressed the audiences, then day 1 Scenario can be like this.

Movie Name Estimated Screens First Day Collections (INR Crores)
Saaho 2600 25
Mission Mangal 1850 15
Batla House 1200 10
Total 5650 50

 

The Best case first weekend scenario can be:

Movie Name Estimated Screens First Day Collections First Weekend
Saaho 2600 25 85
Mission Mangal 1850 15 51
Batla House 1200 10 34
Total 5650 50 170

 

And a More realistic Approach will be this, still assuming that these films have great word of mouth.

Movie Name Estimated Screens First Day Collections First Weekend
Saaho 2600 22 70.4
Mission Mangal 1850 13 41.6
Batla House 1200 8 25.6
Total 5650 43 137.6

 

However, till date it has not happened that three good films which released on the same day have gone to done well. Now Let’s Assume If This Movie Came in a 2 way clash.

Saaho Vs Mission Mangal:

Movie Name Estimated Screens First Day Collections First Weekend
Saaho 3000 26 88.4
Mission Mangal 2200 16 54.4
Total 5200 42 142.8

 

Saaho Vs Batla House:

Movie Name Estimated Screens First Day Collections First Weekend
Saaho 3100 28 95.2
Batla House 1800 12 40.8
Total 4900 40 136

 

Batla House Vs Mission Mangal:

Movie Name Estimated Screens First Day Collections First Weekend
Mission Mangal 2800 18 61.2
Batla House 2200 14 47.6
Total 5000 32 108.8

 

And Now Let’s assume that these films have a Solo release on a Non Festive Day with great products:

Movie Name Estimated Screens First Day Collections First Weekend
Saaho 4200 35 112
Mission Mangal 3400 19 60.8
Batla House 2800 15 48
Total 10400 69 220.8

 

Now, if you analyse the above data. Saaho which is made on a budget of 250+ crores is the one at most risk. But makers have backing of the entire south market hence now it’s not possible to shift the date.

Mission Mangal which is made on a modest budget will be the film that will be most affected both in case of good or bad word of mouth. As it does not seem like a Mass film from whatever we have seen till now and it will leave one are open for both Saaho and Mission Mangal to score points. Also from what we know till now, Akshay Kumar is not in a full fledged role in the movie. But since Akshay Kumar has already moved Sooryavanshi to Avoid clash with Inshallah he will put his foot down to not avert this clash.

Batla House on the other hand has the least to loose and if the the movie finds good word of mouth it will still make it as a clean hit.

These assumptions are done based on a Good Word of Mouth for all the Movies. Now, Let’s Assume If one movie is bad and other two find good word of Mouth then what can happen over the weekend. ( We will put the lowest figures here for calculation for each film).

Movie Name Estimated Screens First Day Collections First Weekend
Saaho 2600 25 45
Mission Mangal 1850 15 27
Batla House 1200 10 18
Total 5650 50

 

(Considering that one film is Negative and other two are positive, this can happen in each of the above cases).

While whichever two films find good word of mouth they will race ahead and the weakest one will perish from day 2. Apart, from hampering the collections if this battle is not averted it will cost huge notional losses to distributors as all these three films have capability to tingle the respective box office circuits. So, many cinema owners will leave out on 3 opportunities and what could be a 3-6 week good run at the box office for them would be wrapped under 1-2 weeks.

You can read Box Office Collections of Bharat Till Now Here.

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